IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Беларусьloss 1:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Украинаwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Беларусь
No games played over 6 months.
Украина
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
385 picks · 750 bans
Hoodwink
345 picks · 313 bans
Rubick
343 picks · 233 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 683 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
310 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
305 picks · 534 bans
Phoenix
287 picks · 606 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 80%
Hero pool strength50% Беларусь
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Украина
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Беларусь 48%Украина 52%
The model gave 52% on Украина — the game was taken by Беларусь.
Game 2prediction correct
Беларусь 48%Украина 52%
The model gave 52% on Украина — the game was taken by Украина.
Game 3prediction correct
Беларусь 48%Украина 52%
The model gave 52% on Украина — the game was taken by Украина.
Model check result
Model favoriteУкраина · 52%
Series resultУкраина 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3