The International 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Windrangersignature
Save- · 33 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 30 games
Hoodwink
Save- · 29 games
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 27 games
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 23 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 23 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 22 games
1w Team
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 27 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 21 game
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 19 games
Tusk
swedenstrong · 15 games
Kezsignature
Pure~ · 13 games
Largosignature
33 · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
510 picks · 355 bans
Clockwerk
360 picks · 636 bans
Bane
351 picks · 409 bans
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 465 bans
Rubick
327 picks · 177 bans
Tiny
315 picks · 348 bans
Shadow Fiend
304 picks · 583 bans
Windranger
303 picks · 229 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total66% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:23
BETBOOM TEAM 59%1w Team 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 53:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezKiritych
Earthshakerbzm
SnapfiregpK~
IoPure~
SlardarMieRo
Centaur Warrunner33
RingmasterSave-
HoodwinkAri
BaneKataomi
TuskWhitemon
Game 2prediction missed11:36
BETBOOM TEAM 59%1w Team 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 1w Team in 44:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerKiritych
KezPure~
PuckgpK~
Doom33
LargoMieRo
Tinybzm
Elder TitanKataomi
HoodwinkAri
Shadow ShamanSave-
BaneWhitemon
Game 3prediction correct37:32
BETBOOM TEAM 59%1w Team 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:09:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerKiritych
Ember Spiritbzm
PuckgpK~
AlchemistPure~
LargoMieRo
Doom33
MiranaSave-
HoodwinkAri
Elder TitanKataomi
RingmasterWhitemon
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 66%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3