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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
9Pandasloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 32 games
66%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 31 game
74%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 30 games
70%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 29 games
69%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 26 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 25 games
72%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 23 games
61%

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 49 games
53%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 46 games
70%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 44 games
48%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 38 games
61%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 36 games
67%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 34 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 31 game
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 27 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
647 picks · 690 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
533 picks · 343 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
449 picks · 953 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
436 picks · 936 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
413 picks · 863 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
396 picks · 877 bans
53%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
386 picks · 344 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
385 picks · 998 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total60% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:32
BETBOOM TEAM 56%9Pandas 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:00:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
45% · 110 games49% · 189 games
TimbersawMieRo
Timbersaw
Monkey King
Monkey KingNightfall
55% · 221 game45% · 19 games
Night StalkerRAMZES666
Night Stalker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
55% · 217 games38% · 109 games
Windrangerkiyotaka
Windranger
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
54% · 167 games52% · 283 games
DoomAntares
Doom
Oracle
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
57% · 69 games45% · 184 games
SilencerSolo
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed
BETBOOM TEAM 60%9Pandas 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Game 3prediction correct37:13
BETBOOM TEAM 55%9Pandas 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
51% · 54 games53% · 91 game
AlchemistRAMZES666
Alchemist
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
48% · 177 games39% · 83 games
Windrangerkiyotaka
Windranger
Axe
AxePure~
51% · 35 games51% · 109 games
EnigmaMieRo
Enigma
Oracle
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
55% · 55 games50% · 181 game
DoomAntares
Doom
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
52% · 153 games64% · 10 games
Witch DoctorSolo
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 60%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3