The International 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Windrangersignature
Save- · 33 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 31 game
Hoodwink
Save- · 30 games
Slardarsignature
gpK~ · 28 games
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 27 games
Largosignature
MieRo · 24 games
Pucksignature
gpK~ · 24 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 23 games
Aurora Gaming
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 54 games
Phoenix
Kaori · 50 games
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 38 games
Lionsignature
Mira · 38 games
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 38 games
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 38 games
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 37 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mikoto · 32 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
510 picks · 361 bans
Bane
359 picks · 429 bans
Clockwerk
347 picks · 619 bans
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 479 bans
Shadow Fiend
317 picks · 606 bans
Tiny
311 picks · 346 bans
Rubick
304 picks · 166 bans
Windranger
303 picks · 217 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:27
BETBOOM TEAM 51%Aurora Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 42:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezKiritych
Phantom LancerNightfall
SlardargpK~
TimbersawWs
BeastmasterMieRo
Earth SpiritMikoto
HoodwinkSave-
Treant ProtectorKaori
UndyingKataomi
MiranaMira
Game 2prediction missed10:35
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Aurora Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 33:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerKiritych
NecrophosWs
DoomMieRo
SpectreNightfall
SlardargpK~
Earth SpiritMikoto
RingmasterSave-
JakiroKaori
Winter WyvernKataomi
HoodwinkMira
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2