BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 15 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 10 games
Azure Ray
Lunasignature
lou · 19 games
Batridersignature
天命 · 17 games
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
Primal Beastsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
Rubicksignature
天命 · 14 games
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Chalice · 12 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 564 bans
Lion
327 picks · 284 bans
Vengeful Spirit
325 picks · 269 bans
Phoenix
316 picks · 463 bans
Magnus
285 picks · 458 bans
Pangolier
283 picks · 412 bans
Grimstroke
280 picks · 460 bans
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 782 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Azure Ray
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:27
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Azure Ray 52%
The model gave 52% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 38:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingNightfall
Slarklou
Ember SpiritgpK~
MagnusFaith_bian
SlardarMieRo
Storm SpiritOri
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Hoodwinkfy
RubickSave-
Techies天命
Game 2prediction missed31:26
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Azure Ray 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 40:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageNightfall
Faceless Voidlou
TimbersawgpK~
Templar AssassinOri
BeastmasterMieRo
Dragon KnightFaith_bian
BatriderTORONTOTOKYO
Grimstrokefy
Shadow ShamanSave-
Lion天命
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Series resultAzure Ray 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2