Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 26 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 24 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
Lion
Save- · 22 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 18 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 18 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
378 picks · 635 bans
Gyrocopter
314 picks · 364 bans
Dark Willow
313 picks · 350 bans
Clockwerk
309 picks · 442 bans
Weaver
298 picks · 547 bans
Hoodwink
286 picks · 179 bans
Rubick
286 picks · 176 bans
Centaur Warrunner
281 picks · 377 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 52%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:5
BETBOOM TEAM 85%beastcoast 15%
The model gave 85% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:28.
Game 2prediction correct32:14
BETBOOM TEAM 85%beastcoast 15%
The model gave 85% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 85%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2