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BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Execrationloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 31 game
74%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
52%

Execration

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 26 games
65%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 17 games
59%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Shanks · 15 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 14 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bob · 13 games
62%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 13 games
54%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Huntersignature
Shanks · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
609 picks · 300 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
528 picks · 529 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
390 picks · 1095 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
363 picks · 191 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
353 picks · 592 bans
53%
Pugna
Pugna
348 picks · 391 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
346 picks · 156 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
337 picks · 260 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total73% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:15
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Execration 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
50% · 148 games53% · 196 games
Templar AssassinPalos
Templar Assassin
Sand King
Sand KinggpK~
50% · 171 game52% · 128 games
LeshracBob
Leshrac
Slardar
SlardarMieRo
56% · 87 games38% · 65 games
AxeTino-
Axe
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
43% · 138 games57% · 266 games
RingmasterShanks
Ringmaster
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
49% · 319 games47% · 208 games
Silencercml
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 73%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1