ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Techiessignature
Save- · 33 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 25 games
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 24 games
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 22 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 22 games
Enchantress
Save- · 21 game
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 21 game
Gaimin Gladiators
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 26 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 25 games
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 24 games
Dark Seersignature
Ace · 23 games
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 22 games
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 22 games
Morphlingoften banned
dyrachyo · 22 games
Techiessignature
tOfu · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
261 picks · 381 bans
Dark Willow
228 picks · 111 bans
Muerta
215 picks · 315 bans
Treant Protector
214 picks · 459 bans
Phoenix
209 picks · 292 bans
Kunkka
188 picks · 482 bans
Nature's Prophet
187 picks · 386 bans
Tusk
183 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 59%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:27
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Gaimin Gladiators 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosPure~
Alchemistdyrachyo
Faceless VoidNightfall
DazzleAce
InvokergpK~
HuskarQuinn
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Crystal MaidenSeleri
Centaur WarrunnerSave-
TusktOfu
Game 2prediction correct44:32
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Gaimin Gladiators 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 59:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Centaur WarrunnerPure~
Terrorbladedyrachyo
HuskargpK~
DazzleAce
WindrangerNightfall
PangolierQuinn
TuskTORONTOTOKYO
PhoenixSeleri
GrimstrokeSave-
TinytOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2