DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Batridersignature
Save- · 23 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 16 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 15 games
Muertasignature
Save- · 15 games
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 13 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 21 game
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 19 games
Chensignature
Seleri · 18 games
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
Clockwerk
Seleri · 17 games
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
359 picks · 484 bans
Clockwerk
357 picks · 330 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 459 bans
Enchantress
306 picks · 593 bans
Luna
288 picks · 344 bans
Snapfire
284 picks · 153 bans
Dragon Knight
256 picks · 427 bans
Batrider
246 picks · 236 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:7
BETBOOM TEAM 51%Gaimin Gladiators 49%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightPure~
MorphlingWatson
Shadow Fiendkiyotaka
Sand KingQuinn
VisageMieRo
DawnbreakerAce
LionSave-
LichSeleri
TuskKataomi
Dark WillowtOfu
Game 2prediction missed33:29
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Gaimin Gladiators 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 1:06:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingPure~
BeastmasterAce
Earthshakerkiyotaka
Dragon KnightWatson
DawnbreakerMieRo
PuckQuinn
MuertaSave-
Naga SirenSeleri
TuskKataomi
Dark WillowtOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2