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FISSURE Universe: Episode 6 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 34 games
65%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 30 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
66%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
61%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 24 games
79%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
58%

Gaimin Gladiators

Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 29 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 27 games
48%
Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 25 games
52%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Quinn · 23 games
48%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Quinn · 22 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Quinn · 21 game
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Ace · 20 games
65%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 20 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
560 picks · 584 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
379 picks · 221 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
368 picks · 425 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
347 picks · 339 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
338 picks · 497 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
324 picks · 859 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
323 picks · 687 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
302 picks · 853 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head7 – 0
Model total62% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:22
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Gaimin Gladiators 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingPure~
54% · 375 games52% · 97 games
LunaWatson
Luna
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
47% · 88 games46% · 217 games
BeastmasterAce
Beastmaster
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
47% · 232 games48% · 225 games
Storm SpiritQuinn
Storm Spirit
Pugna
PugnaSave-
53% · 232 games52% · 155 games
Nature's ProphetMalady
Nature's Prophet
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
55% · 12 games49% · 245 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Game 2prediction correct25:2
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Gaimin Gladiators 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 21:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
47% · 250 games49% · 381 game
TerrorbladeWatson
Terrorblade
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
53% · 308 games51% · 342 games
PuckQuinn
Puck
Marci
MarciPure~
50% · 177 games41% · 92 games
AxeAce
Axe
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
55% · 240 games52% · 305 games
Shadow ShamantOfu
Shadow Shaman
Muerta
MuertaSave-
54% · 271 game47% · 126 games
UndyingMalady
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 62%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2