Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO5
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
Banesignature
Bignum · 10 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
Hoodwinksignature
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
Kunkkasignature
Petushara · 8 games
Linasignature
fn · 8 games
Weaversignature
Bignum · 8 games
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
434 picks · 267 bans
Mars
411 picks · 547 bans
Tiny
363 picks · 420 bans
Death Prophet
339 picks · 687 bans
Ember Spirit
302 picks · 445 bans
Sand King
299 picks · 396 bans
Weaver
268 picks · 319 bans
Pangolier
260 picks · 394 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 69%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed55:40
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Gambit Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:01:13.
Game 2prediction correct14:37
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Gambit Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 38:03.
Game 3prediction correct11:24
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Gambit Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 41:22.
Game 4prediction missed36:29
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Gambit Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 53:20.
Game 5prediction missed27:19
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Gambit Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 58%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 3:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5