ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 45 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 34 games
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 24 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 23 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
GamerLegion
Warlock
Speeed · 22 games
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 21 game
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 20 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 19 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
Clockwerk
Bignum · 14 games
Batridersignature
Speeed · 13 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
688 picks · 847 bans
Tiny
594 picks · 612 bans
Tusk
492 picks · 425 bans
Warlock
489 picks · 337 bans
Shadow Demon
424 picks · 1111 bans
Shadow Fiend
404 picks · 1033 bans
Ember Spirit
400 picks · 701 bans
Mars
390 picks · 631 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:14
BETBOOM TEAM 64%GamerLegion 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomMieRo
Wraith KingShad
PuckgpK~
KezRCY
SlarkKiritych
BatriderFayde
Shadow DemonSave-
VenomancerSpeeed
BaneKataomi
LionBignum
Game 2prediction correct38:40
BETBOOM TEAM 69%GamerLegion 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 57:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistKiritych
Queen of PainRCY
LargoMieRo
Dragon KnightShad
Storm SpiritgpK~
PangolierFayde
Dark WillowSave-
PhoenixSpeeed
JakiroKataomi
BaneBignum
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 76%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2