BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Heroicwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 31 game
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
Hoodwink
Save- · 21 game
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Heroic
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 21 game
Tusk
Scofield · 19 games
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 18 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 18 games
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 16 games
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
Abaddonsignature
Yuma · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
631 picks · 315 bans
Disruptor
546 picks · 550 bans
Puck
404 picks · 1128 bans
Hoodwink
387 picks · 206 bans
Mars
368 picks · 616 bans
Pugna
355 picks · 391 bans
Warlock
352 picks · 160 bans
Tusk
351 picks · 273 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total61% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:32
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Heroic 58%
The model gave 58% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 33:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistKiritych
GyrocopterYuma
SlardargpK~
Dark SeerDavai
AbaddonMieRo
EnigmaWisper
DisruptorKataomi
TuskScofield
Dark WillowSave-
HoodwinkKJ
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 61%
Series resultHeroic 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1