Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Hydraloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Rubicksignature
Save- · 15 games
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 11 games
Tiny
Save- · 11 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 9 games
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
Hydra
Tusksignature
Lefitan · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
HappyDyurara · 18 games
Batridersignature
Worick · 16 games
Lycansignature
Cloud · 12 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Lefitan · 11 games
Clockwerksignature
HappyDyurara · 10 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
Kami · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
812 picks · 574 bans
Tiny
590 picks · 404 bans
Treant Protector
523 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
513 picks · 419 bans
Nature's Prophet
480 picks · 772 bans
Death Prophet
426 picks · 884 bans
Snapfire
425 picks · 306 bans
Clockwerk
373 picks · 281 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 61%
Hero pool strength56% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:21
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Hydra 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Hydra in 53:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetPure~
Anti-MageKami
Death ProphetgpK~
Dragon KnightCloud
TidehunterNightfall
BatriderWorick
EnchantressSave-
SnapfireLefitan
TuskTORONTOTOKYO
DisruptorHappyDyurara
Game 2prediction correct36:14
BETBOOM TEAM 56%Hydra 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladePure~
Shadow FiendKami
Primal BeastgpK~
PangolierWorick
Death ProphetNightfall
BeastmasterCloud
ClockwerkSave-
EnchantressLefitan
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
Treant ProtectorHappyDyurara
Game 3prediction correct40:7
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Hydra 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomNightfall
Anti-MageKami
SniperPure~
Keeper of the LightWorick
Death ProphetgpK~
Dragon KnightCloud
EnchantressSave-
RubickHappyDyurara
TuskTORONTOTOKYO
SnapfireLefitan
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3