?
arrow_backBack to match
Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
IVYloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 17 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 14 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 13 games
62%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
67%

IVY

Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 19 games
53%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
pio65 · 17 games
35%
Tiny
Tiny
Qupe · 17 games
41%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Qupe · 16 games
31%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Qupe · 15 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
Mo13ei · 15 games
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
jmn- · 13 games
31%
Luna
Luna
pio65 · 12 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
709 picks · 606 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
576 picks · 505 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
477 picks · 1166 bans
59%
Doom
Doom
472 picks · 877 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
425 picks · 1073 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
407 picks · 863 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
398 picks · 216 bans
57%
Enchantress
Enchantress
397 picks · 572 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 47%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:7
BETBOOM TEAM 66%IVY 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
47% · 153 games52% · 211 games
BeastmasterMikSa`
Beastmaster
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterPure~
55% · 46 games53% · 129 games
Void SpiritOtaker
Void Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
58% · 174 games40% · 178 games
Death ProphetMoonlight
Death Prophet
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
52% · 210 games49% · 61 game
Pugnarue
Pugna
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
44% · 57 games48% · 61 game
Winter Wyvernjmn-
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct34:12
BETBOOM TEAM 69%IVY 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 23:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerNightfall
52% · 153 games48% · 138 games
DawnbreakerOtaker
Dawnbreaker
Techies
TechiesPure~
55% · 146 games52% · 228 games
SnapfireMikSa`
Snapfire
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
55% · 293 games40% · 102 games
WindrangerMoonlight
Windranger
Lich
LichTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 96 games50% · 224 games
Crystal Maidenjmn-
Crystal Maiden
Pudge
PudgeSave-
48% · 106 games43% · 102 games
Spirit Breakerrue
Spirit Breaker
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 80%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2