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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LGD Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 22 games
59%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 21 game
62%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
79%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 17 games
71%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
65%

LGD Gaming

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 22 games
86%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
62%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
81%
Phoenix
Phoenix
pLAnet · 21 game
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
pLAnet · 18 games
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
pLAnet · 15 games
53%
Mirana
Miranasignature
pLAnet · 15 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
726 picks · 530 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
594 picks · 515 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
558 picks · 1092 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
556 picks · 1242 bans
57%
Techies
Techies
533 picks · 589 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
470 picks · 937 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
468 picks · 1061 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
457 picks · 656 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:10
BETBOOM TEAM 50%LGD Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomPure~
51% · 310 games51% · 153 games
Alchemistshiro
Alchemist
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNightfall
48% · 133 games45% · 212 games
PuckNothingToSay
Puck
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
51% · 197 games51% · 191 game
Timbersawniu
Timbersaw
Pugna
PugnaSave-
53% · 123 games51% · 221 game
Keeper of the LightpLAnet
Keeper of the Light
Disruptor
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
55% · 254 games43% · 240 games
Crystal Maideny`
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed34:13
BETBOOM TEAM 50%LGD Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
53% · 179 games57% · 33 games
Muertashiro
Muerta
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassingpK~
48% · 132 games51% · 327 games
Beastmasterniu
Beastmaster
Doom
DoomPure~
52% · 291 game48% · 197 games
TimbersawNothingToSay
Timbersaw
Techies
TechiesSave-
48% · 190 games45% · 39 games
LionpLAnet
Lion
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 84 games49% · 280 games
Undyingy`
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 54%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2