Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Mind Gamesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Banesignature
Bignum · 11 games
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
Kunkkasignature
Petushara · 8 games
Linasignature
fn · 8 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
434 picks · 274 bans
Mars
426 picks · 563 bans
Tiny
382 picks · 444 bans
Death Prophet
349 picks · 721 bans
Sand King
321 picks · 437 bans
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 466 bans
Pangolier
282 picks · 420 bans
Storm Spirit
273 picks · 415 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:9
BETBOOM TEAM 80%Mind Games 20%
The model gave 80% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:39.
Game 2prediction correct8:17
BETBOOM TEAM 80%Mind Games 20%
The model gave 80% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 80%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2