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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MoneyMakersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 39 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 31 game
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 30 games
80%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 28 games
79%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 26 games
81%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
63%
Legion Commander
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 23 games
70%

MoneyMakers

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Bb3px · 14 games
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 9 games
67%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Egor · 8 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 8 games
25%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Bignum · 8 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Egor · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
220 picks · 272 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
197 picks · 85 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
192 picks · 220 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
184 picks · 394 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
170 picks · 248 bans
57%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
169 picks · 171 bans
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
167 picks · 223 bans
48%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
160 picks · 260 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 52%
Hero pool strength61% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:19
BETBOOM TEAM 77%MoneyMakers 23%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 51:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingNightfall
52% · 116 games55% · 118 games
SlarkLukas
Slark
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
47% · 80 games53% · 68 games
KunkkaPalantimos
Kunkka
Puck
PuckgpK~
52% · 72 games54% · 18 games
DazzleWorick
Dazzle
Enchantress
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 170 games47% · 209 games
Nature's ProphetBignum
Nature's Prophet
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
45% · 72 games50% · 97 games
LichCeMaTheSlayeR
Lich
Game 2prediction correct36:11
BETBOOM TEAM 77%MoneyMakers 23%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightNightfall
56% · 55 games55% · 41 game
LifestealerLukas
Lifestealer
Brewmaster
BrewmasterPure~
48% · 66 games48% · 117 games
Templar AssassinWorick
Templar Assassin
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
52% · 103 games47% · 97 games
Primal BeastPalantimos
Primal Beast
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
45% · 106 games59% · 32 games
Ancient ApparitionCeMaTheSlayeR
Ancient Apparition
Oracle
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
43% · 34 games51% · 77 games
GrimstrokeBignum
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 91%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2