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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Natus Vincereloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
44%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 23 games
65%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 21 game
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
65%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
70%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 18 games
72%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 16 games
50%

Natus Vincere

Lion
Lion
Zayac · 15 games
47%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Nefrit · 11 games
45%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Zayac · 10 games
70%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Nefrit · 9 games
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nefrit · 9 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Zayac · 9 games
78%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Shigetsu · 8 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
mellojul · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
483 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
437 picks · 636 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
416 picks · 733 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
398 picks · 569 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
398 picks · 352 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 164 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 773 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
334 picks · 560 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:11
BETBOOM TEAM 66%Natus Vincere 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
44% · 237 games46% · 144 games
SvenYuragi
Sven
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
47% · 131 game47% · 130 games
RazorNefrit
Razor
Magnus
MagnusMieRo
52% · 140 games55% · 87 games
Queen of PainSancity
Queen of Pain
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
51% · 143 games50% · 169 games
ClockwerkZayac
Clockwerk
Io
IoTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 79 games55% · 200 games
Crystal MaidenMalady
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct32:23
BETBOOM TEAM 69%Natus Vincere 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaNightfall
48% · 145 games50% · 112 games
RazorYuragi
Razor
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
52% · 309 games44% · 143 games
BeastmasterNefrit
Beastmaster
Magnus
MagnusMieRo
49% · 232 games49% · 159 games
Keeper of the LightSancity
Keeper of the Light
Bane
BaneSave-
59% · 80 games49% · 286 games
TechiesZayac
Techies
Oracle
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
52% · 81 game48% · 147 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 79%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2