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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 42 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 27 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%

Nigma Galaxy

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
GH · 27 games
41%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 22 games
45%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
No!ob · 21 game
81%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
No!ob · 21 game
57%
Tiny
Tinysignature
SumaiL · 20 games
65%
Muerta
Muerta
OmaR · 18 games
44%
Mars
Marsoften banned
No!ob · 17 games
59%
Pugna
Pugna
GH · 17 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
574 picks · 800 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
436 picks · 286 bans
51%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
433 picks · 827 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
409 picks · 630 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
400 picks · 856 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
377 picks · 319 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 500 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
375 picks · 907 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 62%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:4
BETBOOM TEAM 65%Nigma Galaxy 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerPure~
56% · 151 game50% · 128 games
Phantom AssassinGhost
Phantom Assassin
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
48% · 425 games50% · 158 games
Ember SpiritSumaiL
Ember Spirit
Kunkka
KunkkaMieRo
45% · 73 games51% · 130 games
Sand KingNo!ob
Sand King
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
52% · 89 games51% · 337 games
TinyOmaR
Tiny
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
47% · 88 games49% · 73 games
SilencerGH
Silencer
Game 2prediction correct33:21
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Nigma Galaxy 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 51:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerPure~
56% · 101 game47% · 446 games
Dragon KnightGhost
Dragon Knight
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
49% · 293 games52% · 159 games
Sand KingSumaiL
Sand King
Tiny
TinygpK~
48% · 414 games55% · 288 games
BristlebackNo!ob
Bristleback
Muerta
MuertaSave-
46% · 346 games56% · 94 games
Ancient ApparitionGH
Ancient Apparition
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
53% · 88 games42% · 255 games
TuskOmaR
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 76%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2