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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 34 games
59%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
67%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%

Nigma Galaxy

Phoenix
Phoenix
GH · 25 games
40%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
No!ob · 24 games
75%
Magnus
Magnussignature
No!ob · 20 games
65%
Tusk
Tusk
OmaR · 20 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
OmaR · 19 games
68%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
SumaiL · 17 games
53%
Io
Iosignature
GH · 16 games
69%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ghost · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
500 picks · 494 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
430 picks · 575 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
393 picks · 189 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
307 picks · 556 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
278 picks · 389 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
270 picks · 159 bans
49%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
265 picks · 516 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 475 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:22
BETBOOM TEAM 60%Nigma Galaxy 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 32:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinKiritych
52% · 169 games50% · 90 games
MedusaGhost
Medusa
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
47% · 188 games46% · 52 games
LeshracSumaiL
Leshrac
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyergpK~
58% · 17 games52% · 186 games
BristlebackNo!ob
Bristleback
Tinker
TinkerKataomi
47% · 97 games51% · 71 game
Keeper of the LightGH
Keeper of the Light
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
52% · 88 games49% · 160 games
Tuskyamich
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed34:25
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Nigma Galaxy 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 56:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
49% · 326 games52% · 94 games
TinkerSumaiL
Tinker
Earthshaker
EarthshakerMieRo
50% · 133 games43% · 268 games
Dragon KnightGhost
Dragon Knight
Monkey King
Monkey KingKiritych
57% · 250 games50% · 227 games
BristlebackNo!ob
Bristleback
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
58% · 118 games54% · 140 games
Ancient ApparitionGH
Ancient Apparition
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
48% · 161 game39% · 259 games
Tuskyamich
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2