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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nigma Galaxywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 31 game
65%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 30 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
68%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
57%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
50%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 25 games
80%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 23 games
57%

Nigma Galaxy

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
GH · 36 games
56%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
GH · 24 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 23 games
52%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Ghost · 21 game
38%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Ghost · 21 game
48%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
No!ob · 19 games
58%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OmaR · 19 games
53%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ghost · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
450 picks · 419 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
365 picks · 194 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
341 picks · 347 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
328 picks · 808 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
321 picks · 850 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
287 picks · 398 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 227 bans
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
283 picks · 537 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total76% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:19
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Nigma Galaxy 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 1:04:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidPure~
53% · 12 games50% · 4 games
Lone DruidGhost
Lone Druid
Sand King
Sand KinggpK~
46% · 138 games48% · 178 games
DoomNo!ob
Doom
Magnus
MagnusMieRo
59% · 212 games55% · 136 games
EarthshakerSumaiL
Earthshaker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
49% · 117 games47% · 266 games
BatriderOmaR
Batrider
Pugna
PugnaKataomi
47% · 187 games49% · 82 games
Elder TitanGH
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct36:29
BETBOOM TEAM 65%Nigma Galaxy 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:03:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaPure~
53% · 116 games52% · 157 games
Dragon KnightGhost
Dragon Knight
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
54% · 147 games49% · 253 games
PuckSumaiL
Puck
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKataomi
58% · 114 games52% · 94 games
MarsNo!ob
Mars
Axe
AxeMieRo
41% · 94 games44% · 190 games
MuertaOmaR
Muerta
Lion
LionSave-
48% · 275 games49% · 52 games
DazzleGH
Dazzle
Game 3prediction missed26:33
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Nigma Galaxy 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 57:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciPure~
48% · 129 games50% · 304 games
PuckSumaiL
Puck
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMieRo
41% · 136 games63% · 30 games
Troll WarlordGhost
Troll Warlord
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
51% · 130 games50% · 127 games
MarsNo!ob
Mars
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
45% · 87 games57% · 63 games
Keeper of the LightGH
Keeper of the Light
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
48% · 193 games54% · 151 game
BaneOmaR
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 76%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3