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The International 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
nounsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 20 games
55%
Mirana
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 20 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 17 games
41%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
MieRo · 15 games
47%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Nightfall · 15 games
40%

nouns

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 32 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Copy · 27 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Lelis · 26 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yuma · 23 games
43%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Gunnar · 22 games
41%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Copy · 21 game
62%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gunnar · 19 games
74%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 19 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
409 picks · 374 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
383 picks · 428 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
365 picks · 532 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
342 picks · 256 bans
47%
Weaver
Weaver
333 picks · 745 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
318 picks · 642 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
316 picks · 763 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
309 picks · 651 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 49%
Hero pool strength51% nouns
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:1
BETBOOM TEAM 60%nouns 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaNightfall
50% · 70 games55% · 50 games
Queen of PainCopy
Queen of Pain
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
48% · 90 games41% · 128 games
Chaos KnightYuma
Chaos Knight
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
51% · 91 game60% · 111 games
Sand KingGunnar
Sand King
Enchantress
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 93 games54% · 9 games
TinkerLelis
Tinker
Snapfire
SnapfireSave-
51% · 62 games48% · 108 games
DisruptorFly
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct25:11
BETBOOM TEAM 61%nouns 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordNightfall
60% · 129 games50% · 110 games
UrsaYuma
Ursa
Monkey King
Monkey KinggpK~
57% · 90 games41% · 150 games
RazorCopy
Razor
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
52% · 209 games41% · 119 games
TuskGunnar
Tusk
Naga Siren
Naga SirenTORONTOTOKYO
57% · 87 games47% · 204 games
EnchantressFly
Enchantress
Batrider
BatriderSave-
50% · 193 games45% · 125 games
SnapfireLelis
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 69%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2