?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
nounsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 16 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
63%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 14 games
57%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 13 games
54%

nouns

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 26 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 25 games
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fly · 24 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Lelis · 24 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Copy · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Copy · 23 games
65%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Lelis · 23 games
43%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Lelis · 22 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
371 picks · 493 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
364 picks · 340 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 458 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 591 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
295 picks · 351 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
275 picks · 145 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
253 picks · 410 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
250 picks · 247 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% nouns
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:25
BETBOOM TEAM 56%nouns 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by nouns in 48:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistPure~
59% · 139 games47% · 181 game
MedusaYuma
Medusa
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
54% · 155 games40% · 123 games
Void SpiritCopy
Void Spirit
Doom
DoomMieRo
51% · 234 games51% · 195 games
BeastmasterGunnar
Beastmaster
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
48% · 240 games52% · 321 game
ClockwerkFly
Clockwerk
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKataomi
51% · 204 games47% · 152 games
PugnaLelis
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct32:9
BETBOOM TEAM 53%nouns 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
54% · 119 games47% · 203 games
SvenYuma
Sven
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
53% · 106 games47% · 81 game
Earth SpiritCopy
Earth Spirit
Mars
MarsMieRo
54% · 197 games40% · 61 game
VisageGunnar
Visage
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
47% · 235 games50% · 95 games
MuertaLelis
Muerta
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKataomi
53% · 14 games54% · 231 game
Shadow DemonFly
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2