The International 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Windrangersignature
Save- · 32 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 30 games
Hoodwink
Save- · 29 games
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 26 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 23 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 23 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 22 games
OG
Tinyoften banned
Yopaj · 19 games
Windranger
Tims · 19 games
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 17 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Tims · 16 games
Hoodwink
Tims · 15 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Skem · 13 games
Mirana
Skem · 12 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Raven · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
503 picks · 348 bans
Clockwerk
353 picks · 634 bans
Bane
350 picks · 401 bans
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 456 bans
Rubick
324 picks · 176 bans
Tiny
311 picks · 341 bans
Shadow Fiend
302 picks · 576 bans
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 329 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 39%
Hero pool strength62% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total81% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:13
BETBOOM TEAM 69%OG 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidKiritych
LinaYopaj
Ember SpiritgpK~
KezNatsumi
Legion CommanderMieRo
EnigmaRaven
WindrangerSave-
HoodwinkTims
UndyingKataomi
MiranaSkem
Game 2prediction correct29:7
BETBOOM TEAM 69%OG 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosKiritych
Templar AssassinNatsumi
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
TinyYopaj
LinagpK~
AxeRaven
Dark WillowSave-
HoodwinkTims
UndyingKataomi
Bounty HunterSkem
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 81%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2