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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OGloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 30 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 27 games
48%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 27 games
74%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 24 games
75%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 24 games
67%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 23 games
74%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 22 games
59%
Largo
Largosignature
MieRo · 21 game
62%

OG

Windranger
Windranger
Tims · 15 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 13 games
31%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 12 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Natsumi · 12 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
Skem · 11 games
18%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Tims · 9 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Yopaj · 8 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
508 picks · 300 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
408 picks · 171 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
380 picks · 172 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 499 bans
59%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
319 picks · 285 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
312 picks · 312 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
293 picks · 496 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
279 picks · 353 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 30%
Hero pool strength65% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 3
Model total78% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:15
BETBOOM TEAM 68%OG 32%
The model gave 68% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerKiritych
50% · 86 games47% · 195 games
Templar AssassinNatsumi
Templar Assassin
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
51% · 245 games48% · 125 games
BrewmasterSSS
Brewmaster
Muerta
MuertaSave-
52% · 105 games42% · 275 games
Void SpiritTopson
Void Spirit
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkswedenstrong
51% · 423 games57% · 126 games
GrimstrokeOneJey
Grimstroke
Bane
BaneKataomi
53% · 124 games49% · 262 games
MiranaSkem
Mirana
Game 2prediction missed11:32
BETBOOM TEAM 69%OG 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 32:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
51% · 222 games43% · 559 games
TinyNatsumi
Tiny
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
47% · 256 games35% · 25 games
ZeusTopson
Zeus
Muerta
MuertaSave-
53% · 146 games53% · 109 games
EnigmaSSS
Enigma
Hoodwink
HoodwinkKataomi
59% · 512 games44% · 267 games
GyrocopterSkem
Gyrocopter
Bane
Baneswedenstrong
60% · 189 games47% · 365 games
Dark WillowOneJey
Dark Willow
Game 3prediction correct40:31
BETBOOM TEAM 66%OG 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:26:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanMieRo
49% · 74 games51% · 39 games
Phantom LancerNatsumi
Phantom Lancer
Lina
LinaSave-
62% · 62 games49% · 121 game
BrewmasterSSS
Brewmaster
Tiny
TinyKiritych
45% · 348 games47% · 446 games
WindrangerTopson
Windranger
Hoodwink
HoodwinkKataomi
54% · 458 games47% · 196 games
GyrocopterOneJey
Gyrocopter
Dark Willow
Dark Willowswedenstrong
46% · 192 games54% · 332 games
BaneSkem
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 78%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3