BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PARIVISIONwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 25 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 19 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 17 games
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 15 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 15 games
Enchantresssignature
Kataomi · 15 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
Pure~ · 15 games
PARIVISION
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 15 games
Batridersignature
9Class · 13 games
Chensignature
Dukalis · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 11 games
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 11 games
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 11 games
Enigmaoften banned
DM · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
501 picks · 688 bans
Clockwerk
430 picks · 486 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 539 bans
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
349 picks · 180 bans
Dragon Knight
331 picks · 470 bans
Enchantress
321 picks · 642 bans
Batrider
318 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:23
BETBOOM TEAM 62%PARIVISION 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 34:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistPure~
Dragon KnightCrystallis
Keeper of the LightgpK~
InvokerNo[o]ne
Death ProphetMieRo
NecrophosDM
TuskKataomi
Batrider9Class
MuertaSave-
ChenPanto
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 74%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1