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ESL One Bangkok 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 27 games
63%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
46%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
70%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 18 games
61%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 18 games
83%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 18 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 15 games
53%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Kataomi · 15 games
73%

PARIVISION

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 14 games
79%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 14 games
79%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
69%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 13 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 12 games
42%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
DM · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
490 picks · 674 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
415 picks · 490 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
361 picks · 533 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
350 picks · 184 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
338 picks · 450 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
306 picks · 494 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 596 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
303 picks · 327 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 51%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:29
BETBOOM TEAM 54%PARIVISION 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerPure~
56% · 74 games50% · 191 game
GyrocopterCrystallis
Gyrocopter
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
48% · 152 games75% · 4 games
RikiNo[o]ne
Riki
Brewmaster
BrewmasterMieRo
55% · 142 games53% · 86 games
MagnusDM
Magnus
Muerta
MuertaSave-
44% · 127 games44% · 60 games
Techies9Class
Techies
Lich
LichKataomi
47% · 37 games51% · 191 game
ClockwerkDukalis
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed19:45
BETBOOM TEAM 56%PARIVISION 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 38:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoPure~
45% · 48 games53% · 165 games
PuckNo[o]ne
Puck
Brewmaster
BrewmasterMieRo
52% · 181 game40% · 149 games
RazorCrystallis
Razor
Monkey King
Monkey Kingkiyotaka
63% · 181 game50% · 228 games
PhoenixDM
Phoenix
Muerta
MuertaSave-
49% · 204 games46% · 129 games
PugnaDukalis
Pugna
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKataomi
48% · 294 games50% · 237 games
Clockwerk9Class
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2