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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
PARIVISIONloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 48 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Kataomi · 31 game
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
61%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 24 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 23 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
78%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 20 games
65%

PARIVISION

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 26 games
69%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
84%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 17 games
76%
Invoker
Invokersignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
75%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 15 games
40%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
60%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 14 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
630 picks · 994 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
526 picks · 437 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
456 picks · 633 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 493 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
450 picks · 1062 bans
56%
Warlock
Warlock
442 picks · 281 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
423 picks · 582 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
419 picks · 505 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head3 – 8
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:18
BETBOOM TEAM 51%PARIVISION 49%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 24:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Underlord
UnderlordMieRo
54% · 192 games47% · 327 games
BeastmasterSatanic
Beastmaster
Viper
VipergpK~
53% · 95 games48% · 61 game
TinkerNo[o]ne
Tinker
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
49% · 253 games56% · 157 games
TimbersawSSS
Timbersaw
Windranger
WindrangerSave-
44% · 277 games49% · 631 game
JakiroDukalis
Jakiro
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
52% · 443 games48% · 84 games
Spirit Breaker9Class
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction correct36:22
BETBOOM TEAM 53%PARIVISION 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:02:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
50% · 183 games52% · 150 games
KezSatanic
Kez
Razor
RazorgpK~
52% · 85 games50% · 211 games
Primal BeastSSS
Primal Beast
Mars
MarsMieRo
45% · 223 games50% · 407 games
BeastmasterNo[o]ne
Beastmaster
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
43% · 221 game55% · 38 games
Techies9Class
Techies
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
54% · 348 games51% · 254 games
PhoenixDukalis
Phoenix
Game 3prediction correct34:5
BETBOOM TEAM 52%PARIVISION 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzKiritych
56% · 89 games47% · 559 games
Dragon KnightSatanic
Dragon Knight
Mars
MarsMieRo
48% · 321 game47% · 149 games
LargoSSS
Largo
Viper
VipergpK~
52% · 91 game48% · 230 games
Void SpiritNo[o]ne
Void Spirit
Jakiro
JakiroSave-
50% · 548 games52% · 512 games
RingmasterDukalis
Ringmaster
Tusk
TuskKataomi
51% · 425 games55% · 24 games
Techies9Class
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3