DreamLeague Season 28. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwink
Save- · 39 games
Muertasignature
Save- · 25 games
Bane
Kataomi · 23 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 23 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 22 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 20 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 49 games
Jakirooften banned
Htrd · 43 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 38 games
Void Spirit
Ethereal · 33 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 26 games
Slardarsignature
Ankou · 25 games
Disruptor
Htrd · 24 games
Tinyoften banned
raregods · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
563 picks · 722 bans
Tusk
511 picks · 352 bans
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 657 bans
Centaur Warrunner
450 picks · 547 bans
Snapfire
397 picks · 135 bans
Hoodwink
386 picks · 184 bans
Gyrocopter
375 picks · 528 bans
Mars
373 picks · 516 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 73%
Hero pool strength52% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:24
BETBOOM TEAM 71%Rune Eaters 29%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of PaingpK~
Clinkzyowaai
KezKiritych
LeshracEthereal
TinkerKataomi
DawnbreakerAnkou
AxeMieRo
Ogre Magimonodrama
HoodwinkSave-
Ringmasterani-san
Game 2prediction correct
BETBOOM TEAM 88%Rune Eaters 12%
The model gave 88% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 88%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2