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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 46 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 38 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 35 games
57%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 26 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 24 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 53 games
66%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
monodrama · 46 games
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 40 games
48%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 36 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 33 games
39%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 30 games
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
641 picks · 695 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
520 picks · 454 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
493 picks · 413 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
433 picks · 290 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
420 picks · 401 bans
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
400 picks · 1099 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
391 picks · 839 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
382 picks · 570 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 51%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total90% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:22
BETBOOM TEAM 75%Rune Eaters 25%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverKiritych
46% · 137 games50% · 184 games
Monkey Kingyowaai
Monkey King
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
55% · 344 games44% · 174 games
BrewmasterAnkou
Brewmaster
Windranger
WindrangergpK~
53% · 336 games47% · 127 games
ViperEthereal
Viper
Rubick
RubickSave-
53% · 118 games51% · 587 games
JakiroKidaro
Jakiro
Tusk
TuskKataomi
50% · 528 games51% · 391 game
Ringmasterani-san
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct58:23
BETBOOM TEAM 78%Rune Eaters 22%
The model gave 78% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
49% · 349 games51% · 184 games
Muertayowaai
Muerta
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidKiritych
50% · 94 games48% · 292 games
Queen of PainEthereal
Queen of Pain
Phoenix
PhoenixMieRo
52% · 232 games49% · 52 games
Night StalkerAnkou
Night Stalker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
56% · 284 games51% · 65 games
VenomancerKidaro
Venomancer
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
44% · 103 games49% · 469 games
Tuskani-san
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 90%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2