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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Asterloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
58%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 18 games
61%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%

Team Aster

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xxs · 22 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fantasy · 22 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
BoBoKa · 22 games
68%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xwy · 21 game
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 21 game
67%
Rubick
Rubick
BoBoKa · 19 games
37%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Xwy · 18 games
61%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
BoBoKa · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
741 picks · 628 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
602 picks · 529 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
523 picks · 1291 bans
59%
Doom
Doom
522 picks · 1019 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
454 picks · 1154 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
449 picks · 928 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
428 picks · 224 bans
59%
Techies
Techies
425 picks · 432 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:18
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Team Aster 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderPure~
54% · 43 games52% · 238 games
DoomXxs
Doom
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
59% · 111 games52% · 126 games
SlarkMonet
Slark
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
52% · 163 games46% · 104 games
Winter WyvernSumaiL
Winter Wyvern
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
51% · 142 games40% · 96 games
WindrangerBoBoKa
Windranger
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 199 games46% · 94 games
PhoenixFantasy
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct25:4
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Team Aster 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
58% · 111 games50% · 256 games
DoomXxs
Doom
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassingpK~
52% · 109 games45% · 146 games
TimbersawSumaiL
Timbersaw
Enchantress
EnchantressPure~
46% · 210 games57% · 115 games
SlarkMonet
Slark
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
55% · 139 games40% · 94 games
PugnaBoBoKa
Pugna
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
45% · 98 games51% · 56 games
Shadow DemonFantasy
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2