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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Asterloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 32 games
66%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 30 games
70%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 29 games
72%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 28 games
68%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 24 games
71%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 24 games
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 23 games
61%

Team Aster

Rubick
Rubick
Fantasy · 34 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
SumaiL · 30 games
70%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Xxs · 28 games
57%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
BoBoKa · 28 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
SumaiL · 27 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xxs · 26 games
58%
Snapfire
Snapfire
SumaiL · 25 games
52%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fantasy · 23 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
645 picks · 687 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
520 picks · 340 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
449 picks · 964 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
424 picks · 932 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
406 picks · 860 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 347 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
386 picks · 1001 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
384 picks · 859 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 41%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total62% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:19
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Team Aster 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:04:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNightfall
59% · 196 games57% · 141 game
MedusaMonet
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
48% · 250 games51% · 111 games
Dark SeerXxs
Dark Seer
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
47% · 147 games41% · 181 game
SnapfireSumaiL
Snapfire
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderPure~
53% · 101 game46% · 326 games
BatriderKaka
Batrider
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
55% · 202 games46% · 137 games
Spirit BreakerFantasy
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction correct18:8
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Team Aster 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
52% · 177 games49% · 224 games
Faceless VoidMonet
Faceless Void
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
53% · 82 games51% · 264 games
Storm SpiritSumaiL
Storm Spirit
Tiny
TinygpK~
50% · 300 games51% · 129 games
TidehunterXxs
Tidehunter
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
50% · 166 games44% · 120 games
Winter WyvernKaka
Winter Wyvern
Clockwerk
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
55% · 205 games45% · 193 games
Skywrath MageFantasy
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 62%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2