BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TATeam Aureuswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 31 game
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
Team Aureus
Hoodwinksignature
Tims · 18 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Natsumi · 15 games
Snapfiresignature
Tims · 15 games
Bristlebacksignature
Force · 12 games
Disruptorsignature
Tims · 12 games
Abaddonsignature
Force · 11 games
Sand Kingsignature
Yopaj · 11 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Force · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
624 picks · 308 bans
Disruptor
540 picks · 548 bans
Puck
399 picks · 1116 bans
Hoodwink
379 picks · 199 bans
Mars
358 picks · 613 bans
Pugna
352 picks · 392 bans
Warlock
349 picks · 159 bans
Tusk
346 picks · 269 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Team Aureus
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:33
BETBOOM TEAM 60%Team Aureus 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Aureus in 42:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonKiritych
GyrocopterNatsumi
Sand KinggpK~
SlardarYopaj
MarsMieRo
UndyingForce
Shadow DemonSave-
EnchantressSkem
JakiroKataomi
RubickTims
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Series resultTeam Aureus 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1