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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Falconswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
76%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 16 games
69%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 16 games
69%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
38%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 10 games
80%

Team Falcons

Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 22 games
86%
Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
76%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 17 games
88%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 16 games
56%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 16 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Malr1ne · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 556 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
341 picks · 294 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
332 picks · 290 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
309 picks · 438 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
293 picks · 405 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
287 picks · 479 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
279 picks · 755 bans
54%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
276 picks · 670 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 72%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:18
BETBOOM TEAM 46%Team Falcons 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 49:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
53% · 63 games51% · 126 games
Dragon KnightSkiter
Dragon Knight
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
47% · 173 games48% · 131 game
PuckMalr1ne
Puck
Windranger
WindrangergpK~
54% · 100 games50% · 147 games
MarsATF
Mars
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 172 games47% · 145 games
TuskCr1t-
Tusk
Lion
LionSave-
53% · 147 games47% · 106 games
Crystal MaidenSneyking
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct22:30
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Team Falcons 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 42:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordNightfall
60% · 47 games59% · 51 game
WeaverSkiter
Weaver
Tiny
TinygpK~
51% · 176 games45% · 206 games
PuckMalr1ne
Puck
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
49% · 149 games47% · 168 games
TidehunterATF
Tidehunter
Batrider
BatriderTORONTOTOKYO
48% · 213 games51% · 244 games
LionCr1t-
Lion
Techies
TechiesSave-
50% · 214 games45% · 130 games
Crystal MaidenSneyking
Crystal Maiden
Game 3prediction correct7:16
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Team Falcons 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 28:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkNightfall
58% · 85 games54% · 103 games
SvenSkiter
Sven
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
49% · 157 games68% · 16 games
HuskarMalr1ne
Huskar
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
52% · 113 games45% · 226 games
TimbersawATF
Timbersaw
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
50% · 95 games47% · 200 games
TinyCr1t-
Tiny
Pugna
PugnaTORONTOTOKYO
43% · 115 games42% · 20 games
Shadow ShamanSneyking
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 55%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3