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ESL One Birmingham 2024 · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Liquidloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 19 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
74%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 18 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
61%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 17 games
65%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 14 games
71%

Team Liquid

Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 29 games
66%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 24 games
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 24 games
67%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 20 games
65%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 19 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 19 games
53%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 18 games
72%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Nisha · 17 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
473 picks · 205 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 595 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
451 picks · 831 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
448 picks · 659 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
422 picks · 178 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
396 picks · 730 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
393 picks · 618 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
382 picks · 295 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total53% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:15
BETBOOM TEAM 46%Team Liquid 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerNightfall
50% · 128 games53% · 139 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Timbersaw
TimbersawgpK~
49% · 259 games49% · 36 games
Venomancer33
Venomancer
Visage
VisageMieRo
41% · 57 games39% · 155 games
KunkkaNisha
Kunkka
Tiny
TinySave-
55% · 175 games52% · 365 games
RubickBoxi
Rubick
Disruptor
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
52% · 149 games56% · 73 games
OracleiNSaNiA
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 53%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1