FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Muertasignature
Save- · 27 games
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
Batridersignature
Save- · 22 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 19 games
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 18 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
Magnussignature
MieRo · 16 games
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
Nisha · 25 games
Muerta
Boxi · 24 games
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 23 games
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 22 games
Clockwerkoften banned
iNSaNiA · 21 game
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 21 game
Hoodwink
Boxi · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
486 picks · 418 bans
Batrider
442 picks · 538 bans
Phoenix
442 picks · 519 bans
Clockwerk
435 picks · 567 bans
Lion
434 picks · 232 bans
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 770 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 584 bans
Tiny
379 picks · 421 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 5
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:15
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Team Liquid 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerPure~
PangolierNisha
MarciMieRo
WeavermiCKe
InvokergpK~
AxeSabeRLight-
LichKataomi
PhoenixiNSaNiA
IoSave-
Shadow DemonBoxi
Game 2prediction correct33:13
BETBOOM TEAM 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterPure~
Troll WarlordmiCKe
AbaddonMieRo
EarthshakerNisha
Dragon KnightgpK~
EnigmaSabeRLight-
IoSave-
PhoenixiNSaNiA
MarciKataomi
SlarkBoxi
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2