?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Liquidloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 32 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 29 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 27 games
81%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 23 games
70%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
68%

Team Liquid

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 27 games
70%
Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 27 games
48%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 26 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 24 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 23 games
70%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nisha · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
515 picks · 806 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
513 picks · 626 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
488 picks · 494 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
463 picks · 566 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
435 picks · 369 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
428 picks · 1022 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
409 picks · 770 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
390 picks · 210 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 47%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 4
Model total61% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:30
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Team Liquid 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 43:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
41% · 148 games49% · 204 games
TinymiCKe
Tiny
Earthshaker
EarthshakergpK~
57% · 111 games52% · 131 game
Ember SpiritNisha
Ember Spirit
Night Stalker
Night StalkerMieRo
45% · 83 games58% · 47 games
TidehunterSabeRLight-
Tidehunter
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
52% · 51 game52% · 107 games
WeaverBoxi
Weaver
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
40% · 157 games59% · 61 game
MiranaiNSaNiA
Mirana
Game 2prediction correct38:22
BETBOOM TEAM 54%Team Liquid 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 55:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPure~
50% · 78 games58% · 31 game
LycanmiCKe
Lycan
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
39% · 34 games57% · 41 game
Dark SeerSabeRLight-
Dark Seer
Night Stalker
Night StalkerMieRo
39% · 61 game54% · 110 games
MagnusNisha
Magnus
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
35% · 9 games48% · 11 games
Spirit BreakerBoxi
Spirit Breaker
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
57% · 39 games52% · 28 games
GrimstrokeiNSaNiA
Grimstroke
Game 3prediction correct44:22
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Team Liquid 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
43% · 45 games44% · 85 games
Phantom AssassinmiCKe
Phantom Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterPure~
50% · 219 games51% · 147 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMieRo
50% · 108 games44% · 42 games
AbaddonSabeRLight-
Abaddon
Mirana
MiranaKataomi
57% · 75 games54% · 44 games
WarlockiNSaNiA
Warlock
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
53% · 53 games52% · 182 games
RubickBoxi
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3