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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 47 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Kataomi · 31 game
58%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 24 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 22 games
77%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
48%

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 41 game
59%
Puck
Pucksignature
Nisha · 30 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
46%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 24 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 23 games
43%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Ace · 22 games
77%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
miCKe · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
631 picks · 992 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
534 picks · 440 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
455 picks · 639 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
453 picks · 490 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
451 picks · 1052 bans
55%
Warlock
Warlock
443 picks · 278 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
421 picks · 581 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
418 picks · 513 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 3
Model total68% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:17
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Team Liquid 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 36:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
47% · 335 games53% · 187 games
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Shadow Fiend
Huskar
HuskargpK~
57% · 97 games53% · 304 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Slardar
SlardarMieRo
50% · 303 games51% · 286 games
BatriderAce
Batrider
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
46% · 509 games49% · 185 games
ChentOfu
Chen
Lion
LionSave-
43% · 82 games51% · 364 games
TinyBoxi
Tiny
Game 2prediction correct8:39
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Team Liquid 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 29:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinKiritych
52% · 201 game48% · 55 games
SniperNisha
Sniper
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
48% · 78 games46% · 214 games
WindrangermiCKe
Windranger
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendgpK~
61% · 188 games46% · 230 games
MarsAce
Mars
Phoenix
PhoenixKataomi
50% · 128 games52% · 192 games
HoodwinkBoxi
Hoodwink
Muerta
MuertaSave-
49% · 148 games45% · 52 games
LargotOfu
Largo
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 68%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2