?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
55%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 20 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
61%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 18 games
72%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 17 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 16 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
63%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 34 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Larl · 29 games
62%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 28 games
82%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 21 game
81%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Malik · 20 games
75%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Larl · 20 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
rue · 19 games
79%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
406 picks · 516 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
374 picks · 362 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 461 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
311 picks · 362 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
299 picks · 569 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
265 picks · 145 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
254 picks · 256 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
253 picks · 123 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 59%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total61% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:21
BETBOOM TEAM 54%Team Spirit 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoPure~
47% · 43 games53% · 194 games
Dragon KnightSatanic
Dragon Knight
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
49% · 216 games56% · 155 games
Storm SpiritLarl
Storm Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
43% · 160 games61% · 198 games
Primal BeastMalik
Primal Beast
Enchantress
EnchantressKataomi
47% · 393 games57% · 189 games
Shadow DemonMiposhka
Shadow Demon
Muerta
MuertaSave-
46% · 157 games43% · 233 games
Tuskrue
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct30:15
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Team Spirit 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
51% · 178 games44% · 223 games
MorphlingSatanic
Morphling
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
51% · 295 games52% · 300 games
Dragon KnightLarl
Dragon Knight
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightkiyotaka
54% · 120 games53% · 59 games
DawnbreakerMalik
Dawnbreaker
Muerta
MuertaSave-
49% · 160 games45% · 270 games
TuskMiposhka
Tusk
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKataomi
49% · 302 games53% · 203 games
Lionrue
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2