ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 45 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 33 games
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 23 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 23 games
Team Yandex
Jakirosignature
Malady · 43 games
Tusksignature
Malady · 39 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 31 game
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 27 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 27 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 24 games
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
681 picks · 840 bans
Tiny
590 picks · 611 bans
Tusk
486 picks · 420 bans
Warlock
486 picks · 330 bans
Shadow Demon
420 picks · 1104 bans
Shadow Fiend
402 picks · 1019 bans
Ember Spirit
401 picks · 699 bans
Mars
390 picks · 629 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 53%
Hero pool strength55% Team Yandex
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total66% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:40
BETBOOM TEAM 41%Team Yandex 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 41:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaKiritych
KezWatson
Storm SpiritgpK~
RazorNoticed
UnderlordMieRo
SlardarChira JUNIOR
PhoenixKataomi
TinySaksa
Shadow ShamanSave-
JakiroMalady
Game 2prediction correct14:22
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Team Yandex 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 24:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
ClinkzKiritych
Naga SirenWatson
SlardargpK~
DoomNoticed
MarsMieRo
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Shadow DemonSave-
PhoenixMalady
TuskKataomi
Shadow ShamanSaksa
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 66%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2