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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UALEIKUMNIHAOloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 17 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 14 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 13 games
62%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
62%

UALEIKUMNIHAO

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Shergarat · 14 games
57%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Shergarat · 12 games
58%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
b1kA · 12 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
Mary_y · 11 games
45%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Shergarat · 10 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
b1kA · 9 games
44%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Mary_y · 9 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Palantimos · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
708 picks · 608 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
581 picks · 504 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
483 picks · 1182 bans
59%
Doom
Doom
479 picks · 891 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
427 picks · 1084 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
409 picks · 869 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
403 picks · 218 bans
58%
Enchantress
Enchantress
399 picks · 573 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:4
BETBOOM TEAM 76%UALEIKUMNIHAO 24%
The model gave 76% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 23:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordNightfall
54% · 86 games57% · 65 games
SvenPalantimos
Sven
Doom
DoomPure~
47% · 400 games53% · 297 games
BeastmasterShergarat
Beastmaster
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
43% · 203 games48% · 306 games
PangolierChira JUNIOR
Pangolier
Pugna
PugnaSave-
51% · 136 games50% · 174 games
Techiesb1kA
Techies
Disruptor
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 465 games50% · 448 games
RubickMary_y
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct40:20
BETBOOM TEAM 75%UALEIKUMNIHAO 25%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
64% · 58 games49% · 149 games
BloodseekerPalantimos
Bloodseeker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
44% · 204 games57% · 37 games
HuskarChira JUNIOR
Huskar
Enchantress
EnchantressPure~
47% · 143 games52% · 205 games
BroodmotherShergarat
Broodmother
Pudge
PudgeSave-
39% · 65 games50% · 43 games
Clinkzb1kA
Clinkz
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 239 games54% · 275 games
DisruptorMary_y
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 90%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2