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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Virtus.prowin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 10 games
80%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Bignum · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 8 games
75%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 8 games
50%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 7 games
86%

Virtus.pro

Bane
Banesignature
Xakoda · 14 games
71%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
yamich · 14 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
DM · 13 games
69%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
gpK~ · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 11 games
82%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 9 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Xakoda · 9 games
44%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Xakoda · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
561 picks · 465 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
436 picks · 676 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
417 picks · 529 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
394 picks · 269 bans
58%
Puck
Puck
367 picks · 836 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
346 picks · 564 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 637 bans
47%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
329 picks · 658 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:36
BETBOOM TEAM 22%Virtus.pro 78%
The model gave 78% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 33:51.
Game 2prediction missed25:14
BETBOOM TEAM 22%Virtus.pro 78%
The model gave 78% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:02.
Game 3prediction correct24:29
BETBOOM TEAM 22%Virtus.pro 78%
The model gave 78% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 37:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 78%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3