Elite League · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 27 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
Lion
Save- · 18 games
Techiessignature
Save- · 18 games
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 14 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 14 games
Xtreme Gaming
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 15 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 14 games
Marssignature
Xxs · 13 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 11 games
Miranasignature
XinQ · 11 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 11 games
Hoodwink
XinQ · 10 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
497 picks · 784 bans
Batrider
459 picks · 967 bans
Techies
457 picks · 351 bans
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 196 bans
Mars
450 picks · 718 bans
Tiny
450 picks · 599 bans
Rubick
438 picks · 205 bans
Pangolier
424 picks · 716 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total52% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:24
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Xtreme Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 47:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeNightfall
SvenAme
WindrangergpK~
ViperXm
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
MarsXxs
BatriderSave-
IoDy
LeshracTORONTOTOKYO
Nyx AssassinXinQ
Game 2prediction missed39:13
BETBOOM TEAM 47%Xtreme Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenNightfall
Monkey KingAme
Death ProphetgpK~
LinaXm
BeastmasterMieRo
OmniknightXxs
Shadow DemonSave-
ClockwerkXinQ
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
OracleDy
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2