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BLAST Slam II · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 30 games
73%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 19 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 17 games
65%

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 29 games
66%
Muerta
Muerta
Pyw · 24 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 21 game
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 19 games
53%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 17 games
88%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 14 games
64%
Luna
Lunasignature
Ame · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
469 picks · 587 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
467 picks · 398 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
449 picks · 560 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
431 picks · 534 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 774 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
417 picks · 470 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
400 picks · 875 bans
59%
Lion
Lion
397 picks · 234 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total75% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:16
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Xtreme Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPure~
54% · 319 games45% · 127 games
Phantom Assassinlou
Phantom Assassin
Lina
LinagpK~
50% · 140 games49% · 166 games
SniperXm
Sniper
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
48% · 275 games48% · 505 games
Pangolierniu
Pangolier
Lion
LionSave-
53% · 241 game52% · 270 games
Monkey KingPyw
Monkey King
Phoenix
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
55% · 302 games48% · 209 games
LichPoloson
Lich
Game 2prediction correct29:7
BETBOOM TEAM 65%Xtreme Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
51% · 450 games42% · 114 games
LinaXm
Lina
Tiny
TinygpK~
53% · 515 games48% · 187 games
Svenlou
Sven
Lycan
LycanMieRo
59% · 80 games48% · 232 games
Beastmasterniu
Beastmaster
Chen
ChenTORONTOTOKYO
59% · 165 games48% · 356 games
ClockwerkPyw
Clockwerk
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
48% · 45 games42% · 366 games
BatriderPoloson
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 75%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2