The International 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 31 game
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 29 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
Muerta
Save- · 29 games
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
Windranger
Save- · 26 games
Xtreme Gaming
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 29 games
Elder Titansignature
Poloson · 27 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 23 games
Tiny
Ame · 23 games
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ame · 19 games
Warlocksignature
Poloson · 19 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Poloson · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
340 picks · 235 bans
Puck
310 picks · 692 bans
Dark Willow
277 picks · 140 bans
Tusk
276 picks · 271 bans
Batrider
267 picks · 726 bans
Dawnbreaker
260 picks · 603 bans
Nature's Prophet
252 picks · 516 bans
Marci
243 picks · 506 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 3
Model total51% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:19
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Xtreme Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 1:03:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinPure~
Anti-MageAme
Storm SpiritgpK~
EarthshakerXxs
Sand KingMieRo
Death ProphetXm
HoodwinkSave-
SnapfireXinQ
OracleKataomi
BanexNova
Game 2prediction missed23:27
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Xtreme Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 1:03:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidPure~
SvenAme
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
BatriderXxs
Monkey KinggpK~
LeshracXm
DisruptorKataomi
TinyXinQ
HoodwinkSave-
Elder TitanxNova
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 51%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2