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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 15 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 14 games
71%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 14 games
43%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 13 games
62%

Yakult Brothers

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 12 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 9 games
56%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 9 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 9 games
44%
Muerta
Muerta
BoBoKa · 8 games
50%
Luna
Lunasignature
flyfly · 7 games
71%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Poloson · 7 games
43%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
BoBoKa · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
357 picks · 311 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
345 picks · 483 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
338 picks · 463 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 209 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
318 picks · 599 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
283 picks · 458 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
268 picks · 330 bans
57%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:17
BETBOOM TEAM 67%Yakult Brothers 33%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
50% · 170 games50% · 75 games
Medusaflyfly
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
55% · 93 games48% · 71 game
Earth SpiritEmo
Earth Spirit
Mars
MarsMieRo
46% · 160 games55% · 30 games
Dawnbreakerzeal
Dawnbreaker
Muerta
MuertaSave-
49% · 95 games53% · 163 games
LionBoBoKa
Lion
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKataomi
50% · 6 games47% · 185 games
TuskPoloson
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct28:27
BETBOOM TEAM 69%Yakult Brothers 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 53:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidPure~
45% · 28 games43% · 87 games
Medusaflyfly
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
58% · 152 games47% · 207 games
Ember SpiritEmo
Ember Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
57% · 235 games33% · 58 games
Night Stalkerzeal
Night Stalker
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKataomi
56% · 203 games48% · 126 games
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
Keeper of the Light
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeSave-
56% · 117 games47% · 257 games
TuskPoloson
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 83%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2