BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 31 game
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
Yakult Brothers
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 32 games
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 20 games
Puckoften banned
Emo · 19 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
flyfly · 18 games
Silencersignature
Oli · 18 games
Dark Seersignature
zeal · 17 games
Medusaoften banned
flyfly · 14 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
612 picks · 301 bans
Disruptor
532 picks · 534 bans
Puck
393 picks · 1099 bans
Hoodwink
366 picks · 192 bans
Mars
355 picks · 597 bans
Pugna
350 picks · 392 bans
Warlock
348 picks · 157 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 262 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total71% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:34
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Yakult Brothers 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 53:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaKiritych
Monkey Kingflyfly
DoomMieRo
Storm SpiritEmo
Sand KinggpK~
Timbersawzeal
GrimstrokeSave-
EnchantressPoloson
SilencerKataomi
TechiesBoBoKa
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 71%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1