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PGL Wallachia Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yellow Submarineloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 42 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 39 games
62%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 31 game
61%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 25 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 23 games
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
78%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
45%

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Htrd · 32 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 26 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 24 games
42%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 21 game
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 20 games
60%
Warlock
Warlock
Htrd · 20 games
55%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 19 games
37%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
602 picks · 920 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
482 picks · 522 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
482 picks · 424 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
444 picks · 297 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1069 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
399 picks · 580 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 583 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 673 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:12
BETBOOM TEAM 74%Yellow Submarine 26%
The model gave 74% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendKiritych
54% · 300 games48% · 184 games
Medusabottega
Medusa
Doom
DoomMieRo
54% · 222 games46% · 531 game
PuckMirele
Puck
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
53% · 454 games48% · 272 games
MarsInfernal
Mars
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
52% · 459 games46% · 250 games
Dark Willowprblms
Dark Willow
Bane
BaneKataomi
55% · 231 game44% · 429 games
JakiroHtrd
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct15:9
BETBOOM TEAM 72%Yellow Submarine 28%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaKiritych
53% · 194 games48% · 158 games
Lifestealerbottega
Lifestealer
Huskar
HuskargpK~
50% · 91 game58% · 450 games
Ember SpiritMirele
Ember Spirit
Necrophos
NecrophosMieRo
39% · 16 games46% · 123 games
BrewmasterInfernal
Brewmaster
Tiny
TinySave-
44% · 536 games52% · 475 games
WarlockHtrd
Warlock
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
50% · 543 games52% · 174 games
Dark Willowprblms
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 88%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2