DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionBBBikini Bottomwin 1:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PPP-Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Bikini Bottom
Jakiro
aik · 3 games
Bounty Hunteroften banned
QBFY · 2 games
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 2 games
Leshrac
ряф^^ · 1 game
Lion
QBFY · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
rincyq · 1 game
Night Stalkeroften banned
fortniteMan · 1 game
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
ряф^^ · 1 game
PP-Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
517 picks · 712 bans
Muerta
427 picks · 312 bans
Phoenix
426 picks · 698 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
Bristleback
378 picks · 868 bans
Magnus
377 picks · 997 bans
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 642 bans
Pangolier
364 picks · 505 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% PP-Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Bikini Bottom
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Bikini Bottom 64%PP-Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Bikini Bottom — the game was taken by Bikini Bottom.
Model check result
Model favoriteBikini Bottom · 64%
Series resultBikini Bottom 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1